
By now you have heard that Andrew Bailey has an injured thumb, and is most likely going to hit the DL. What you might not know is that this could require surgery, and if he has surgery he could be out 3 months (according to Lou Merloni on WEEI).
That gives the Red Sox serious problems. Mark Melancon is the obvious choice to take over, but how confident are you in him? He has had a terrible spring (not that it means much), and even if he is OK you are left with Aceves as your setup man, and he might be needed as a starter if Beckett is out.
So, the question is if Bailey is really going to be out for an extended period of time (over a month) would you move Bard back to the bullpen? You have Dice-K coming back sometime around the end of May, and you have Cook pitching pretty well right now. Would you make the switch? If you do, that's it Bard can't go back to starting this year, so you'd have to commit. There are rumors Bobby V isn't very sold on Bard as a starter anyways, so maybe he wouldn't mind this. I actually don't think Bard will mind either as he said earlier he either wants to be a starter or a closer.
It is a very interesting choice, but it is obvious already that the Red Sox depth is going to be tested early with Crawford and Bailey out for at least a month, Lackey out for the year, Dice-K out about 2 months, and Beckett getting a 2nd opinion.
***UPDATE***
Wow, it's even worse than I thought it would be. Andrew Bailey come out and said that the reconstruction of the ulnar collateral ligament in his right thumb is likely to sideline him for approximately 4 months, and that it could even be 5. This is horrible news, yet I guess we can't be shocked because this guy never plays baseball. Now comes the question of who will close. Lots of people think it's Aceves, but I question that because I feel there might be more value from him as that long reliever. He bailed the Red Sox so much in that role, especially since Lester/Beckett/Buchholz have never proved to be inning eaters, which makes a guy like him that much more valuable.
Tough spot for the Sox since their closer is out till at least August.
***UPDATE 2***
Aceves has been named the Red Sox closer while Bailey is out. I really don't know if I like this choice, but maybe he can be was Joe Nathan was a couple years back and get a lot of 2 inning saves.